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GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP (GEOS)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Profitability maintained despite tough comps: Revenue $37.22M and diluted EPS $0.65, down YoY vs the Mariner-driven prior-year quarter, but gross and EBIT margins improved sequentially on product mix and cost control .
  • Smart Water strength offsets Energy variability: Smart Water revenue rose 72% YoY to $7.29M on Hydroconn demand; Energy Solutions delivered a $17M OBX sale but fell YoY given a $30M Mariner sale in the prior year and lower OBX rental utilization .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity solid; buyback completed: Cash & ST investments $22.07M, undrawn $12M revolver; $7M repurchase program completed early in Q2 FY25 (716k shares at $9.72) .
  • No formal guidance; near-term catalysts: Additional node sales/rentals (including a $7.6M Mariner award slated for Q3), potential U.S. Border Patrol (Quantum) decision, and continued Smart Water uptake could drive stock reaction .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Smart Water outperformed: revenue +72% YoY to $7.29M on Hydroconn demand; CEO: “We see significant future potential in the municipal and multi-family markets… and intend to grow both organically and through potential acquisition.” .
    • Sequential margin improvement: Gross profit $20.15M on $37.22M revenue (gross margin ~54% vs ~45% in Q4 FY24), with operating income $7.84M (EBIT margin ~21% vs ~3% in Q4) .
    • Capital allocation and liquidity: Completed $7M buyback; liquidity ~$34M (cash+ST investments plus $12M revolver) and debt-free balance sheet .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Energy Solutions down YoY: segment revenue $24.28M vs $39.91M due to prior-year $30M Mariner sale comp and lower OBX rental fleet utilization; Q1 included $17M OBX sale .
    • Higher OpEx: Operating expenses rose to $12.31M (+31% YoY) on personnel, agent commissions (Smart Water growth), and R&D project spend .
    • Government/security revenue timing remains uncertain: Management cited ongoing monitoring of border security opportunities and Quantum/CBP testing, but no near-term revenue commitments; CCUS discussions ongoing with no revenue today .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024 (Dec-23)Q3 2024 (Jun-24)Q4 2024 (Sep-24)Q1 2025 (Dec-24)
Revenue ($M)50.03 25.86 35.44 37.22
Gross Profit ($M)22.24 8.53 15.93 20.15
Gross Margin % (calc.)44.5% (22.24/50.03) 33.0% (8.53/25.86) 45.0% (15.93/35.44) 54.1% (20.15/37.22)
Operating Income ($M)12.84 (2.39) 1.18 7.84
EBIT Margin % (calc.)25.6% (12.84/50.03) (9.3%) ((2.39)/25.86) 3.3% (1.18/35.44) 21.1% (7.84/37.22)
Net Income ($M)12.68 (2.07) (12.86) 8.38
Diluted EPS ($)0.94 (0.16) (1.00) 0.65
  • Revenue mix | Revenue Mix | Q1 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | |---|---|---|---|---| | Products ($M) | 43.71 | 20.22 | 32.60 | 32.65 | | Rental ($M) | 6.32 | 5.64 | 2.84 | 4.58 |

  • Segment performance (new reporting structure; YoY) | Segment | Revenue Q1 2024 ($M) | Revenue Q1 2025 ($M) | Op Inc Q1 2024 ($M) | Op Inc Q1 2025 ($M) | |---|---|---|---|---| | Smart Water | 4.23 | 7.29 | 1.10 | 0.37 | | Energy Solutions | 39.91 | 24.28 | 15.07 | 13.28 | | Intelligent Industrial | 5.81 | 5.58 | (0.19) | (0.94) | | Corporate (rev/op inc) | 0.07 / (3.14) | 0.08 / (4.88) | | |

  • Liquidity and capital allocation | KPI | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | |---|---|---| | Cash & Equivalents ($M) | 6.90 | 1.41 | | Short-term Investments ($M) | 30.23 | 20.66 | | Cash + STI ($M) | 37.12 | 22.07 | | Trade/Financing Receivables – Current ($M) | 21.87 | 40.65 | | Revolver Availability ($M) | 15.00 | 12.00 | | Capex (PP&E) in Quarter ($M) | 3.86 FY Q4 run-rate noted | 3.20 (PP&E), 0.37 (rental) | | Buyback ($) | None in Q4 noted | $0.20M in Q1; $7M program completed early Q2 |

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue/EPSFY25None provided None provided Maintained (no formal guidance)
Capex (PP&E)FY25n/a“As much as $6M” New disclosure
Rental Fleet AdditionsFY25“Do not anticipate significant increases” (qualitative) No change Maintained
LiquidityCurrent$15M revolver (FY24) $12M revolver (Q1) Lower committed availability
Share RepurchaseProgram$7M authorization (Aug-24 extended) Completed early Q2 FY25 (716k shares @ $9.72) Completed

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Smart Water (Hydroconn, Aquana)Record Adjacent/industrial revenue; Aquana backlog ~$0.9M, growth expected Smart Water +72% YoY; strong Hydroconn demand; Aquana momentum incl. international discussions Improving
Energy Solutions demand/OBX utilizationOBX rental gaps; cautious outlook; investing to fulfill existing Mariner contract $17M OBX sale; YoY down vs $30M prior-year Mariner; expect quarterly variability Variable
PRM (Permanent Reservoir Monitoring)Active discussions; tenders possible beyond near term No pressing PRM opportunities; competition from OBN; watch energy dynamics Stable/Muted
Border security/Quantum (CBP)DARPA project concluded; CBP contract extension to Apr-25; decision expected calendar 2Q25 Monitoring new administration; ongoing CBP testing; potential opportunities; no guidance Awaiting decision
CCUS / Energy transition analyticsEarly-stage discussions; limited near-term revenue Discussions ongoing; no revenue today Stable/Muted
Capital allocationBuyback extended to $7M; no additional buyback planned near-term (Q4 call) $7M program completed early Q2 FY25 Executed

Management Commentary

  • “Our companywide focus on driving profitability through strategic decisions continues to yield positive results. We just completed another profitable quarter…” (CEO Rich Kelley) .
  • “This quarter represents our first reporting period using our new business segments: Smart Water, Energy Solutions and Intelligent Industrial.” .
  • “Smart Water… shows an increase of 72% from the same period last year.” .
  • “Energy Solutions… included a $17 million OBX marine wireless product sale… [prior-year] included a $30 million sale of our Mariner shallow water ocean bottom nodes… [also] lower utilization of the OBX rental fleet.” .
  • “We will not provide any specific revenue or earnings guidance…” (CFO Robert Curda) .
  • “Our balance sheet… remains strong and debt-free with $22 million of cash and short-term investments… borrowing availability of $12 million… total liquidity $34 million.” .
  • “The company completed its $7 million stock repurchase program early in the second quarter… roughly 716,000 shares at an average price of $9.72.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Government security opportunities: Management is “monitoring” the new administration; CBP project ongoing; no guidance; optimism tempered by budget timing .
  • CCUS: Ongoing discussions with partners; no current revenue; margin profile vs PRM unclear .
  • R&D: Elevated R&D spend on capital-intensive projects with longer lead times; pursuing future revenue streams aligned with new segments .
  • Smart Water detail: Hydroconn market uptake continues; Aquana gaining domestic and international traction; pipeline building .
  • PRM: Limited near-term activity; international reservoirs under discussion; competition from ocean bottom nodes .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus from S&P Global (EPS and Revenue) for Q1 2025 was unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limits; as a result, we cannot provide vs-consensus comparisons for this quarter (we will update when available).
  • Management does not issue formal revenue/EPS guidance, which also limits external benchmarking .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix-driven margin resilience: Despite YoY revenue decline versus a Mariner-heavy comp, sequential gross and EBIT margins expanded materially, aided by product sales mix and cost discipline .
  • Smart Water is becoming a second engine: 72% YoY growth and favorable end-market tailwinds (municipal and multifamily) suggest durable contribution beyond Energy Solutions cyclicality .
  • Energy Solutions remains lumpy but leveraged to awards: $17M OBX sale shows product strength; watch for additional OBX/Mariner awards and rental utilization recovery through FY25 .
  • Optionality in government/security: The forthcoming CBP/Quantum decision and DARPA-related opportunities represent upside optionality; timelines remain uncertain .
  • Capital returns executed with prudence: $7M buyback completion and net cash/liquidity position provide flexibility through cycles .
  • Near-term trading catalysts: Additional node awards (incl. $7.6M Mariner slated for Q3), update on CBP decision timing, and continued Smart Water order momentum could move shares .

Additional Supporting Details

  • Other relevant Q1 FY25-period press release: $7.6M Mariner ocean-bottom node contract (delivery expected in Q3 FY25) .
  • Prior two quarters for trend:
    • Q4 FY24: Revenue $35.44M; net loss ($12.86M) driven by $17.3M non-cash charges; adjusted net income $4.44M; strong Smart Water (Hydroconn) momentum noted .
    • Q3 FY24: Revenue $25.86M; net loss ($2.07M) on OBX rental gaps; record Adjacent (industrial) revenue; Aquana backlog ~ $0.9M .

Notes: All figures are as reported in company filings and earnings materials. Margins shown are calculated from reported revenue, gross profit, and operating income figures. Citations: press release and 8-K exhibit for Q1 FY25 ; Q1 FY25 call transcript ; other referenced quarters and press releases .